Very disappointing that neither McEachern nor Fenton will run for NH-Gov. Either of them would've had a much better chance at winning than Cinde Warmington, whose opioid lobbying work makes her unelectable statewide.
Ayotte is a terrible governor, and is certainly beatable, but you can't beat someone with no one, and right now Democrats effectively have no one. At this point, new leadership for the NHDP certainly wouldn't hurt.
Crockett fans are hitting the copium super hard, saying she'll win the Election Day vote! Um, if Talarico has banked enough EV numbers, he'll still win.
If that poll is right, Talarico would have about a 250,000 vote lead right now going into election day. She would need a very black-heavy electorate to make that up tomorrow.
We don’t know that actual EV results. It’s a poll of likely voters of which some said they planned to or already voted early. For primaries it is harder for pollsters to distinguish a pool of representative Democrats (or representative Republicans). So Emerson suggests Talarico won the EV and predicts that Crockett will win the Election Day vote, but both of that is polling.
We’ll get to see Tuesday night. A close race or a blowout by either side all remain possible.
And yes, let’s hope that candidates, staff, volunteers, and supporters quickly reconcile and focus on winning in November. It’s going to take everyone.
re the iran invasion: the statements from schumer, jefferies, and leadership writ large read like the abstract for dissertations. They say we need to talk more like normal people, step one, our statements to the press shouldn't take a degree in english literature to understand.
Either way, the impact this whole Iran situation has on the elections this fall will be absolutely zero. The fact is, the vast majority of Americans don't vote based on foreign policy.
Depends on what gas prices are like June-Labor Day if Hormuz actually becomes as scary as the Red Sea for shipping. The IRGC could vanish into the hills and become a supercharged Houthis
I beg to differ - IP was a major factor of the 2024 election, the War on Terror in 2004-2008, the Cold War in the 80s and Vietnam before then. You can't say that Americans don't vote based on foreign policy when it has decided some very consequential elections.
On Bluesky everyone is pissed. Saw one comment blaming both the labor movement for recruiting Platner and Schumer for recruiting Mills (who has her own issues, such as alleged anti-labor views).
Oh I am furious. I am being forced to back a geriatric governor who might die within the next six years because the alternative seems to be unable to go more than a couple months without a Nazi-related incident. This is a shit show.
It’s not really alleged, she has vetoed bills organized labor supports. It’s apparently bad enough that one union vp said a lot of unions will back Collins in the general if Mills wins the primary.
Sideshow in this social media age. People will vote for or against him based on his views and his anti-establishment credentials. Especially in an independent-minded state like Maine. Right now his forceful opposition to Trump’s illegal war is what matters.
I’m sure that’s what Republicans told themselves too when they nominated people with very huge character flaws that predictably came back to bite them in many general elections.
Jasmine Crockett served as national co-chair of Kamala Harris's presidential campaign. Harris was obligated to support Crockett's bid for the Senate. However, the fact that Harris waited until after early voting to issue her endorsement suggests that she also respects Talarico, or at least the influence of his supporters.
Very disappointing that neither McEachern nor Fenton will run for NH-Gov. Either of them would've had a much better chance at winning than Cinde Warmington, whose opioid lobbying work makes her unelectable statewide.
Ayotte is a terrible governor, and is certainly beatable, but you can't beat someone with no one, and right now Democrats effectively have no one. At this point, new leadership for the NHDP certainly wouldn't hurt.
Getting Madame VP to do a "Hail Mary" robocall isn't going to move the margins for Jasmine Crockett.
i mean she did so well in texas two years ago so i can't imagine her endorsement wouldn't help...snark
Crockett fans are hitting the copium super hard, saying she'll win the Election Day vote! Um, if Talarico has banked enough EV numbers, he'll still win.
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/texas-2026-primary-poll-talarico-paxton-with-narrow-edges-in-senate-primaries/
If that poll is right, Talarico would have about a 250,000 vote lead right now going into election day. She would need a very black-heavy electorate to make that up tomorrow.
A lot of Black voters came out during the early voting period. Will there be enough who will come out tomorrow? It's iffy.
Primaries are very hard to poll. I wouldn’t assume that a single primary poll will be accurate.
I do hope that Talarico wins though.
Agreed.
But in big states small %s can be a lot of votes. Especially if the EV is the bigger chunk and turnout is high.
Whomever wins, I hope they immediately play nice and start gearing up and ganging up on Paxton, who hopefully heads to a runoff.
We don’t know that actual EV results. It’s a poll of likely voters of which some said they planned to or already voted early. For primaries it is harder for pollsters to distinguish a pool of representative Democrats (or representative Republicans). So Emerson suggests Talarico won the EV and predicts that Crockett will win the Election Day vote, but both of that is polling.
We’ll get to see Tuesday night. A close race or a blowout by either side all remain possible.
And yes, let’s hope that candidates, staff, volunteers, and supporters quickly reconcile and focus on winning in November. It’s going to take everyone.
re the iran invasion: the statements from schumer, jefferies, and leadership writ large read like the abstract for dissertations. They say we need to talk more like normal people, step one, our statements to the press shouldn't take a degree in english literature to understand.
Either way, the impact this whole Iran situation has on the elections this fall will be absolutely zero. The fact is, the vast majority of Americans don't vote based on foreign policy.
Depends on what gas prices are like June-Labor Day if Hormuz actually becomes as scary as the Red Sea for shipping. The IRGC could vanish into the hills and become a supercharged Houthis
I beg to differ - IP was a major factor of the 2024 election, the War on Terror in 2004-2008, the Cold War in the 80s and Vietnam before then. You can't say that Americans don't vote based on foreign policy when it has decided some very consequential elections.
ME-Sen: I’m over this shit. If Platner had an R after his name, we’d would be rightfully giddy at the prospect of running against him.
https://www.primetimer.com/news/what-is-graham-planter-tattoo-controversy-senate-candidate-slammed-online-following-nate-cornacchia-podcast-appearance
On Bluesky everyone is pissed. Saw one comment blaming both the labor movement for recruiting Platner and Schumer for recruiting Mills (who has her own issues, such as alleged anti-labor views).
Oh I am furious. I am being forced to back a geriatric governor who might die within the next six years because the alternative seems to be unable to go more than a couple months without a Nazi-related incident. This is a shit show.
It’s not really alleged, she has vetoed bills organized labor supports. It’s apparently bad enough that one union vp said a lot of unions will back Collins in the general if Mills wins the primary.
Got it, didn’t know enough about it and wanted to make sure I wasn’t making a false claim.
Sideshow in this social media age. People will vote for or against him based on his views and his anti-establishment credentials. Especially in an independent-minded state like Maine. Right now his forceful opposition to Trump’s illegal war is what matters.
I’m sure that’s what Republicans told themselves too when they nominated people with very huge character flaws that predictably came back to bite them in many general elections.
It’s interesting, every time I read an article about him I think he’ll lose for sure. But when I hear him speak, I understand why people like him.
Jasmine Crockett served as national co-chair of Kamala Harris's presidential campaign. Harris was obligated to support Crockett's bid for the Senate. However, the fact that Harris waited until after early voting to issue her endorsement suggests that she also respects Talarico, or at least the influence of his supporters.
I mean Harris isn't "obligated" to do jack.