dragonfire5004 on The Downballot

[dragonfire5004]

For me, this is how I view ratings:

Tilt 0-2 points

Lean 2-5 points

Likely 5-10 points

Safe 10+ points

So anything at 5+ is at wave level imo. There’s been a few polls that have shown that. They’re outliers, but they’re more frequent than ones showing Trump winning nationally.

[michaelflutist]

I recall that Obama won by about 8 in 2008 and brought something like 18 flipped House seats with him. That was a wave.

[Wolfpack Dem]

Ah, those halcyon days of youth. I was actively disappointed in the breadth of the Obama 2008 wave.