3 Comments
User's avatar
⭠ Return to thread
dragonfire5004's avatar

First poll I’ve seen with Tran ahead of Steel. The era of the Biden district suburban Republican may be over if these are anywhere close to right. Ugly numbers for the GOP incumbents.

https://x.com/cjwarnke/status/1838570089219518829

New polling in

@politicoca

:

@AdamGrayCA

leads 44% to 42% in #CA13

@RudySalasCA

leads 43% to 39% in #CA22

@gtwhitesides

is leading 44% to 43% in #CA27

@WillRollinsCA

and

@KenCalvert

tied at 46% in #CA41

@derektranCA45

leads 45% to 43% in #CA45

Expand full comment
Paleo's avatar

If the road to a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives runs through California, a new poll suggests Democrats are narrowly on track to get there.

The survey, conducted by researchers at the University of Southern California, California State University Long Beach and Cal Poly Pomona, found Democratic candidates to be slightly ahead of Republicans in four of the state’s six most closely-watched swing districts.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/24/dems-edge-california-swing-house-races-00180648

Expand full comment
William's avatar

One caveat is that in CA47 Min (D) is down 4 to Scott Baugh (R) in these polls in a seat held by outgoing Rep. Katie Porter. Baugh is refusing to debate Min so it may be Min is down in this seat.

Expand full comment
ErrorError