VA-05: Former Rep. Tom Perriello (D) running, presumably with the expectation the seat gets redrawn to be much bluer. Perriello represented the district for a term in the late 2000s and ran a competitive primary against Ralph Northam for governor in 2017.
Interesting, since in a 10-1 map or even a 9-2 map, Roanoke and Charlottesville are likely to be in the same district. So we could see a Rasoul/Perriello primary.
And I feel obligated to post the 10-1 map that I've drawn, where the least Democratic of the 10 blue districts is Harris+7, Jones+8, and Spanberger+17.
I suspect a primary like that would come down to geography more than ideology, since, as you say, there isn't a sharp ideological difference between them.
I hope, should Crockett win the primary, pull an Ossoff/Warnock 2021 upset in the general (but it's going to be a BIG uphill battle). And whomever loses the primary needs to wholeheartedly endorse the winner and rally for them.
Blue Tea Party comparisons continue, re: Crockett. I would like to think our primary voters are more tactical than the GOP’s have been for the past decade, but Texas will be an important early test.
I'm willing to bet 99% of his overperformance was because of Ted Cruz and not because of Collin Allred. Allred's overperformances in the House were minimal at best. Not that I think Talarico would do phenomenally better than Crockett would, but at least he'd be able to compete for persuadable Republican voters if Paxton has more explosive scandals come out.
Honestly wouldn't be the worst outcome unfortunately. Habba and Halligan are both opportunists that are hopping onto the GOP wagon without any real conservative ideological roots. They wear the conservative cape now, but I wouldn't be surprised if they moderated or became outright liberal once Trump is gone. Needless to say, they shouldn't be anywhere near the SCOTUS, but Trump has so many potentially problematic choices that these two incompetent ones are not the worst
Odds are high that Alito and/or Clarence keel over after a Democratic president and Democratic majority Senate is sworn in in 2029. They'd lose their majority right off the bat -- and two liberal justices to join KBJ, Kagan and Sotomayor on the court.
I am curious whether if control of SCOTUS is flipped by court expansion or conservative justices dying or retiring -- whether they would promptly revisit controversial decisions made by the court (a la what the SCONC did when Republicans took control in 2023) or take on cases that reverse that precedent.
VA-05: Former Rep. Tom Perriello (D) running, presumably with the expectation the seat gets redrawn to be much bluer. Perriello represented the district for a term in the late 2000s and ran a competitive primary against Ralph Northam for governor in 2017.
https://x.com/greggiroux/status/1998370184483176693
Interesting, since in a 10-1 map or even a 9-2 map, Roanoke and Charlottesville are likely to be in the same district. So we could see a Rasoul/Perriello primary.
And I feel obligated to post the 10-1 map that I've drawn, where the least Democratic of the 10 blue districts is Harris+7, Jones+8, and Spanberger+17.
https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::48f7d941-a16a-4e67-99d9-527c08d3bd6c
That's going to be interesting. Rasoul and Perriello are both progressives, for one.
I suspect a primary like that would come down to geography more than ideology, since, as you say, there isn't a sharp ideological difference between them.
I hope, should Crockett win the primary, pull an Ossoff/Warnock 2021 upset in the general (but it's going to be a BIG uphill battle). And whomever loses the primary needs to wholeheartedly endorse the winner and rally for them.
Blue Tea Party comparisons continue, re: Crockett. I would like to think our primary voters are more tactical than the GOP’s have been for the past decade, but Texas will be an important early test.
My worry here is that the clear overperformer, Allred, is now out.
I'm willing to bet 99% of his overperformance was because of Ted Cruz and not because of Collin Allred. Allred's overperformances in the House were minimal at best. Not that I think Talarico would do phenomenally better than Crockett would, but at least he'd be able to compete for persuadable Republican voters if Paxton has more explosive scandals come out.
Plus because of Latino downballot ticket lag favoring Democrats.
"Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024
In an interview with Politico on Monday, Trump tells Dasha Burns he hopes Supreme Court Justices Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas don’t retire."
https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/1998401568295579995
Trump singlehandedly keeps saving liberalism.
If they do retire, he will just appoint Alina Habba and Lindsey Halligan to replace them.
Honestly wouldn't be the worst outcome unfortunately. Habba and Halligan are both opportunists that are hopping onto the GOP wagon without any real conservative ideological roots. They wear the conservative cape now, but I wouldn't be surprised if they moderated or became outright liberal once Trump is gone. Needless to say, they shouldn't be anywhere near the SCOTUS, but Trump has so many potentially problematic choices that these two incompetent ones are not the worst
Odds are high that Alito and/or Clarence keel over after a Democratic president and Democratic majority Senate is sworn in in 2029. They'd lose their majority right off the bat -- and two liberal justices to join KBJ, Kagan and Sotomayor on the court.
I am curious whether if control of SCOTUS is flipped by court expansion or conservative justices dying or retiring -- whether they would promptly revisit controversial decisions made by the court (a la what the SCONC did when Republicans took control in 2023) or take on cases that reverse that precedent.