18 Comments
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MPC's avatar
2hEdited

Sabato has changed three Senate race predictions.

AK - Lean Republican to Toss Up

OH - Lean Republican to Toss Up

NC - Toss Up to Lean Democratic

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/the-senate-the-race-for-the-majority-is-not-a-toss-up-but-the-races-that-will-decide-it-are/

ArcticStones's avatar

In the weeks and months ahead, there’ll be a helluva lot more changes!

MPC's avatar

Hopefully for the TX and IA races!

brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

Long overdue for Alaska, Sullivan hasn't lead a single poll since Peltola announced

MPC's avatar

If Peltola wins and the MSM acts shocked, it's on them. Sullivan only won his races by 2-4 points apiece so he's not undefeatable.

Ben F.'s avatar

My only worry ... and I don't want to jinx things... Alaska polling is difficult and has at least a few times underpredicted the R amount.

brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

Jinxing things would be if you said Peltola had this in the bag, you're just being prudently cautious lol.

Ben Richey's avatar

If you came here looking for the Pew Political Typology quiz, it's here: https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/quiz/political-typology/

MPC's avatar

I turned out to be a Leftward Progressive. Which sounds about right.

Mike in MD's avatar

I got the same thing, which really doesn't feel right for me. Loyal Liberal or Left-Out Left seem more fitting.

Unfortunately, "Just Win, Baby, Sickos", who prioritise the need for Democrats to win elections above all in order to govern and who closely follow election and campaign developments, wasn't an option.

anonymouse's avatar

I got left-out left. Would have guessed order and opportunity left beforehand.

Oggoldy's avatar

I got Loyal Liberal, 2nd from the left. Sounds about right to me.

Hudson Democrat's avatar

loyal liberal, but tbf the questions weren't that detailed. would hate to think im an establishment shill

Julius Zinn's avatar

Leftward progressive. Shocker /s

Toiler On the Sea's avatar

Voters don't seem to punish blatant carpetbagging like they used to. Call it a consequence of all politics getting nationalized.

anonymouse's avatar

Probably easier to get away with it in certain states more than others, like Nevada, Arizona, Texas, and Florida with huge transplant populations. Veterans also have the excuse of not always being able to choose where they were stationed.

Mike Johnson's avatar

I think the Reno/Vegas divide is so intense that in cases like that, no way you can outrun the allegation.