Right. Any scenario where Allred was competitive meant that the Tejanos had already "come back home" to the Democratic side. A Democratic win. let alone a double-digit landslide, would require more than getting back to 2018 numbers with Tejanos.
Right. Any scenario where Allred was competitive meant that the Tejanos had already "come back home" to the Democratic side. A Democratic win. let alone a double-digit landslide, would require more than getting back to 2018 numbers with Tejanos.
I mean...a double digit landslide is silliness - no one really expects that. What seems possible is recreating Beto's 2018 coalition with a slightly lower Tejano vote share, a higher college white vote share and a slightly more beneficial midterm electorate mix. Someone should run the math, but it seems like that could be enough to overcome Beto's 3 point loss....
Right. Any scenario where Allred was competitive meant that the Tejanos had already "come back home" to the Democratic side. A Democratic win. let alone a double-digit landslide, would require more than getting back to 2018 numbers with Tejanos.
I mean...a double digit landslide is silliness - no one really expects that. What seems possible is recreating Beto's 2018 coalition with a slightly lower Tejano vote share, a higher college white vote share and a slightly more beneficial midterm electorate mix. Someone should run the math, but it seems like that could be enough to overcome Beto's 3 point loss....
There are more naturalised Tejanos in Texas today than 2018 and the cities have grown with snowbirds since then.