45 Comments
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Darren Monaghan's avatar

Defeating lyin' Ted Cruz is difficult (but certainly not impossible). Anyone on here who knows anyone from Texas or is from there themselves, running up the score BIG TIME in population centers i.e. Austin, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio (surrounding counties as well) is required for Colin Allred to pull off the upset. Beto done that in 2018, just not by enough obviously as he still fell short by 3 points!! πŸ’™πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡²πŸŒŠπŸ™β­οΈπŸ’―

Jonathan's avatar

Imo the Democratic party is very lucky here because both incumbent senators are unpopular politicians as opposed to Rubio and Cornyn, who I consider virtually unbeatable

JKS360's avatar

I predict Rubio runs for prez in '28 rather than Senate.

Jonathan's avatar

Last time he ran for both..he might do it again, but imo he's definitely running for President in '28 because deSantis is done

Zero Cool's avatar

Beto lost by less than 3% points, not 3% points.

User's avatar
Comment removed
Aug 28, 2024
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Jonathan's avatar

And once again the Republicans do the Democratic party a favor by nominating a crazy conspiracy theory George Santos female..that district is loaded with Charlie Crist Republican retirees that won't vote for the crazy

Jonathan's avatar

I'm not sure about St.Pete polls accuracy historically but that is literally in their backyard

Zero Cool's avatar

It would be great to see a QaNon crazy lose re-election in a House seat in FL.

Same with Lauren Boebert in CO-04.

Avedee Eikew's avatar

AK-AL: Peltola (D) edges up to 50.7%. Looks like all or nearly all of the votes have been counted. Combined R vote is 47.6%.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/08/20/us/elections/results-alaska-primary.html

David Nir's avatar

Good catch. Anyone know off-hand when AK is set to finish counting?

hilltopper's avatar

Per the Division of Elections, the deadline for receipt of absentee ballots is 8/30 and final certification of results "is slated for September 1, 2024." https://www.elections.alaska.gov

David Nir's avatar

You rock! So this would mean they're planning to certify the Sunday of Labor Day weekend. πŸ₯΄

hilltopper's avatar

Before you cancel your weekend plans, most states allow deadlines that fall on holidays or weekends to be met on the next business day (here, Tuesday). Still, the Division of Elections posted the date specifically as 8/30.

hilltopper's avatar

Correction: I meant to write that it specified September 1, 2024, as written above.

David Nir's avatar

Yeah, definitely - when you see a deadline in a statute, that's typically the case. But like you say, this was a bit unusual since they posted this in a public communication!

michaelflutist's avatar

So you all don't have to click the link: Dave McCormick, the Republican candidate, highlighted a story from Philadelphia - Mississippi - to try to demagogue immigration to Pennsylvania.

Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

Didn't Reagan start his 1980 campaign there to talk about state's rights?

Jonathan's avatar

yup..Schwerner, Chaney, and Goodman were murdered there; Reagan was going after the George Wallace coalition

James Trout's avatar

He went there at the suggestion of Trent Lott. True story.

Zero Cool's avatar

He’s making it easier for Bob Casey to win re-election for sure.

Jonathan's avatar

These clowns score own goal after own goal; fact checking this would have taken less than 1 minute

michaelflutist's avatar

He and his staff probably didn't know there was another Philadelphia, and it didn't occur to them to check on that.

Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

He also ran afoul of Hershey Park by lying about their ticket prices.

staelis's avatar

I guess we have our new Congresswoman in NJ09: https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/wimberly-withdraws-from-nj-9-congressional-race/ . The others probably figure they'll get another chance not too far in the future, with Pou set to be a 68yo freshman.

Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

Fox poll of Sun Belt swing states has Harris up 50-48 in Nevada and Georgia, 50-49 in Arizona, and down 49-50 in NC: https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-closes-gap-trump-sun-belt-states

Jonathan's avatar

And yet, Trump today told 'Dr.' Phil that he won California easily except for the massive fraud

Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

He did? Was it an episode about broken families?

Zero Cool's avatar

Did Trump say he won Vermont easily because of the same reasons?

Paleo's avatar

Also Rosen up 14 and Stein 11

Jonathan's avatar

Candidate quality across the board; on top of massive fundraising advantages

ehstronghold's avatar

And to think Rosen was the third must vulnerable incumbent behind Tester and Brown.

Zero Cool's avatar

As expected, Kari Lake is a lame duck Senate candidate. Gallego literally has the whole race to himself!

Jonathan's avatar

Yup; even the Police Union that endorsed Trump saw the writing on the wall and endorsed Gallego the next day

Buckeye73's avatar

Fox news polls are usually pretty accurate. Look for another tantrum from the Orange menace.

clevelandpacha's avatar

What the hell is with this discrepancy between senate and presidential numbers? Would it make sense if Trump is turning out low-information/low-interest voters who are just showing up to vote for him and skipping downballot races?

mejdownballot's avatar

Are you referring to AZ-Senate? I believe Kari Lake (R) has worn out her welcome.

Paleo's avatar

May be hard to believe, but some people still split their tickets. But I think the margins in the two senate races are a bit exaggerated

Jonathan's avatar

Agreed but Lake has basically been triaged already

michaelflutist's avatar

Veterans β€˜Furious’ at Trump Campaign: https://politicalwire.com/2024/08/28/veterans-furious-at-trump-campaign/

All other Republican politicians should be asked to comment on this and made to squirm.