It's even better than you think. Reposting from the open thread since it seems more relevant here:
But what I can say definitively is that Florida provides an amazing amount of real time data throughout election day on who precisely has voted, including the partisan registration of all who voted --both early and on election day. Several thousand more Republicans than Dems voted in the Florida state senate race. When I ran my Super PAC, I used a rough rule of thumb that --barring extraordinary situations---92.5% of registered Ds & Rs vote for their own respective parties' candidates. Using that estimate,OVER 75% OF INDEPENDENTS VOTED DEM! Mathematically,the only other possible explanations are that we had even fewer than 7.5% Democratic defections(which still wouldn't account for making up that gap ) &/or there were an unusually FAT amount of Republican DEFECTIONS!
I wrote postcards for Emily Gregory with Postcards to Voters (www.postcardstovoters.org). It is a great feeling knowing that the postcards I wrote might have made a difference. Woohoo!!
As of this evening, Postcards to Voters still has addresses for Shawn Harris in his upcoming runoff for the special election in GA. Hint! Hint!
⬆️"Writing and sending postcards at own expense on behalf of candidates whose campaigns are often well funded - Why would someone do that?"
Attitudes like this are the reason why so many seats in state legislature go uncontested in gerrymandered states! And why only rich, out-of-touch-with-reality candidates can afford to run.
Candidates for Federal office (US House and US Senate) are often (but not always) well funded. Candidates for state legislature are NOT - especially for first time candidates in the minority party (like Emily Gregory). State legislatures are part-time positions that pay next to nothing!
In 2024 when there was a group in FL attempting to get Democrats to run for every seat in the FL legislature, there were fundraisers to help these candidates raise the money to pay the filing fees. Otherwise, many of them would not have been able to afford to run for office.
Some heavy-duty endorsements might help. Looking at you, Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom – better yet if your endorsements coincide.
And in the face of the intractable bloated egos of the candidates who are polling single-digit, it would also help if one of the top-three Democrats pulled out and endorsed one of the others. (If need be, promise the dropout a key administrative position.)
A great win, both literally and psychologically! I urge all Democratic candidate for state legislature to promote combining the local elections with the even year midterm elections which boosts voter turnout and saves tax dollars, thereby helping voters beat inflation. In large states this results in saving millions of taxpayers' money. A side benefit is it results in more women and more minorities being elected to local offices (California study).
Best news I’ve heard in weeks! 🤣
Yay!! Good for her:)
Truly good news
It's even better than you think. Reposting from the open thread since it seems more relevant here:
But what I can say definitively is that Florida provides an amazing amount of real time data throughout election day on who precisely has voted, including the partisan registration of all who voted --both early and on election day. Several thousand more Republicans than Dems voted in the Florida state senate race. When I ran my Super PAC, I used a rough rule of thumb that --barring extraordinary situations---92.5% of registered Ds & Rs vote for their own respective parties' candidates. Using that estimate,OVER 75% OF INDEPENDENTS VOTED DEM! Mathematically,the only other possible explanations are that we had even fewer than 7.5% Democratic defections(which still wouldn't account for making up that gap ) &/or there were an unusually FAT amount of Republican DEFECTIONS!
Keep it coming!!
Sweet!
If Ms. Gregory has a somewhat outlandish sense of humor, maybe she'll pay a visit to the mar-a-lago palace wearing a dominatrix outfit.
Yippee, let's defeat this administration every where
This news put a smile on my face.
Good
Not huge swings from 2024 but considering how far down Florida fell to the dark side it's good to see a little rebound
Still, 13 points from Trump's margin (in 87) and the incumbent R win by 19 last time.
Less swing in the Tampa seat. 9 points or so.
Sounds pretty huge to me. That’s 13.7% average between those three races. Nice numbers to be savored with my celebratory drinks!
87?
I wrote postcards for Emily Gregory with Postcards to Voters (www.postcardstovoters.org). It is a great feeling knowing that the postcards I wrote might have made a difference. Woohoo!!
As of this evening, Postcards to Voters still has addresses for Shawn Harris in his upcoming runoff for the special election in GA. Hint! Hint!
⬆️"Writing and sending postcards at own expense on behalf of candidates whose campaigns are often well funded - Why would someone do that?"
Attitudes like this are the reason why so many seats in state legislature go uncontested in gerrymandered states! And why only rich, out-of-touch-with-reality candidates can afford to run.
Candidates for Federal office (US House and US Senate) are often (but not always) well funded. Candidates for state legislature are NOT - especially for first time candidates in the minority party (like Emily Gregory). State legislatures are part-time positions that pay next to nothing!
In 2024 when there was a group in FL attempting to get Democrats to run for every seat in the FL legislature, there were fundraisers to help these candidates raise the money to pay the filing fees. Otherwise, many of them would not have been able to afford to run for office.
I highly recommend that you check out the States Project to educate yourself about this topic: https://statesproject.org/get-involved/giving-circles/
Now we must consolidate the blue vote in California so we don’t split the vote and end up collecting a GOP governor!
Some heavy-duty endorsements might help. Looking at you, Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom – better yet if your endorsements coincide.
And in the face of the intractable bloated egos of the candidates who are polling single-digit, it would also help if one of the top-three Democrats pulled out and endorsed one of the others. (If need be, promise the dropout a key administrative position.)
Trump is not a republican or a conservative.
Huh?
Exactly what is she going to do about inflation. People just lo ed being lied to.
True blu
A great win, both literally and psychologically! I urge all Democratic candidate for state legislature to promote combining the local elections with the even year midterm elections which boosts voter turnout and saves tax dollars, thereby helping voters beat inflation. In large states this results in saving millions of taxpayers' money. A side benefit is it results in more women and more minorities being elected to local offices (California study).